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III. Phases Of Crisis And Conflict

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Chapter Summary

This chapter briefly discusses the phases of Kosovo crisis and conflict. The four phases are phase 1: unstable peace to emerging crisis (1987?1992), phase 2: stable high tension situation (1992?1997), phase 3: escalating violence (1997?1998), and phase 4: military diplomacy and armed conflict (1998?1999). The chapter postulates that there are three perspectives which need to be adopted as a preliminary step towards the identification of possible policy alternatives. First, there is the objective assessment of the political circumstances characterising each of the four phases of the conflict, including factors which aggravated developments and triggered escalation. Second, the perceptions of this reality by the local protagonists of the conflict need to be identified. Provided policy alternatives emerge which might have had an effect on the attitude of the parties, the failure to consider or adopt them will then be addressed.

Keywords: armed conflict; Kosovo crisis; military diplomacy; unstable peace



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