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The Alternative Theory Of Scott And Duncan

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Chapter Summary

Scott and Duncan are an historian (historical demographer) and biologist respectively. They present their alternative theory in two works with the character of monographs published in 2001 and 2004. The first monograph must be considered the principal work; the second is mainly an abridged and popularized version of the first. In contrast to Scott's and Duncan's repeated assertions, contemporary people's impressions of what they actually observed contain close reflections of what modern research on bubonic plague has clarified, namely that bubonic plague is spread by clothing, bedding, luggage and merchandise. Reed-Frost theory is of very limited usefulness and of peripheral interest for the study of epidemic diseases spread by cross-infection, particularly viral diseases disseminated by droplets. Scott and Duncan's alternative theory of historical plague is that it was caused by filoviridal disease, some form of Ebola or Marburg haemorrhagic disease.

Keywords: alternative theory; Duncan; filoviridal disease; historical plague; Reed-Frost theory; Scott



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