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Changing Support For Democracy In Central And Eastern Europe Between 1995 And 2005: Cohort Replacement And Contextual Effects

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Chapter Summary

This chapter focuses on the dynamic of support for democratic rule and tries to explain the mechanism underlying variations in support. The longitudinal changes in values and attitudes are usually attributed to three processes: individual aging , socialization effects and contextual effects. The goal of the chapter is to decompose the transformation in support for democracy in European countries, between 1995 and 2005, into changes attributable to intracohort changes, under the impact of social and political events, and changes generated by the replacement of the older cohort by new ones. First section provides a short overview of the existing literature on cohort replacement versus intracohort change and on theories explaining the dynamic of support for democratic rule. The second part introduces the indicators and the strategy used for analysis, while the third section presents the data analysis. The final section is dedicated to conclusions and a short discussion.

Keywords: cohort replacement; contextual effects; European countries; support for democracy



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