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Domestic Unrest and the Initiation of Negotiations

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image of International Negotiation

The main argument of this article is that we need to incorporate domestic-pressure arguments into conflict management studies and, at the same time, we need to include conflict-management opportunities in the study of domestic-international theory. This study looks at the impact of domestic incentives on a state’s decision to negotiate. The primary hypothesis is that domestic turmoil will increase the likelihood that rival states with a history of aggressive interaction shift their foreign policy to a more accommodative one. Testing my argument on strategic rivals between 1945 and 1995, I find that after controlling for the factors of history and level of hostility between the rivals, anti-government unrest actually increases the likelihood of negotiations taking place, while acts threatening the downfall of the regime tend to decrease the chance of witnessing negotiations.

Affiliations: 1: School of Government and Public Policy, University of Arizona 335 Social Sciences, P.O. Box 210027, Tucson, AZ 85721 USA, Email: fghosn@email.arizona.edu

10.1163/157180611X553872
/content/journals/10.1163/157180611x553872
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/content/journals/10.1163/157180611x553872
2011-01-01
2017-09-22

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