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NoSCE or Next Generation OSCE?

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This article examines how increased tensions between Russia and the West in the wake of the Ukraine crisis impact the conflict management work of the OSCE. It first looks at Russian perspectives of the OSCE and focuses on how these changed in the post-2014 period. It then proceeds with an overview of implications resulting from geopolitical tensions between Russia and the West that could positively or negatively affect the role of the OSCE in conflict management in the long term. The article ends by laying out 4 scenarios on how the situation and the OSCE could evolve and argues that in the near future a continuation of the status quo is most probable.

Affiliations: 1: Foreign policy and security expert, Center for Strategic Research; consultant, pir Center


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