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Leadership Succession, Great Power Ambitions, and the Future of Central Asia

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image of Central Asian Affairs

Two uncertainties will reshape inter- and intra-state governance in Eurasia over the next five to twenty years. First, the stabilizing anchors of Central Asia, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan, will see their first leadership change since independence. Second, it is unclear if and how the region’s two great powers, Russia and China, will accommodate one another’s expanding interests. This paper explores these two uncertainties, their potential to reshape Central Asian politics, and scenarios that may emerge should the current, now quarter century status quo be disrupted.

Affiliations: 1: George Mason University 4400 University Drive, Fairfax, Virginia 22030 emcglinc@gmu.edu

10.1163/22142290-00303001
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/content/journals/10.1163/22142290-00303001
2016-06-28
2018-06-25

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